Oneida, Wisconsin — Presidential Election Results

Oneida, Wisconsin has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 17.0 pts more Rep. than Wisconsin overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Wisconsin
2000 George W. Bush Republican 9,512 50.4% 6.2 pts (1,173 votes) 18,891 — 6.8 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 11,351 51.5% 4.0 pts (887 votes) 22,039 +2.5 pts 4.4 pts more Rep.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 11,907 54.3% 10.4 pts (2,277 votes) 21,927 +14.6 pts 3.5 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 10,917 50.4% 2.1 pts (465 votes) 21,652 -12.7 pts 9.1 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 12,117 56.4% 18.7 pts (4,013 votes) 21,473 -17.7 pts 19.0 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 13,671 56.6% 14.8 pts (3,566 votes) 24,159 +4.8 pts 15.6 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 14,455 58.1% 17.6 pts (4,375 votes) 24,895 -2.8 pts 17.0 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 36,766 51.4% of population
2004 37,035 59.5% of population
2008 36,500 60.1% of population
2012 35,673 60.7% of population
2016 35,329 60.8% of population
2020 37,877 63.8% of population
2024 38,175 65.2% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Oneida shifted 11.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+6.6 pts 2004: R+4.1 pts 2008: D+10.6 pts 2012: R+2.2 pts 2016: R+19.8 pts 2020: R+15.0 pts 2024: R+17.8 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Oneida has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Wisconsin's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Wisconsin Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Oneida voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Oneida has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Oneida?

Oneida's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Mitt Romney (Republican) won by 2.2 points (465 votes) out of 21,652 total votes cast.

Has Oneida ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Oneida changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Oneida?

The widest margin on record for Oneida was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 19.8 points.

How many votes were cast in Oneida relative to its population?

In 2024, 24,895 votes were recorded in Oneida against a total population of 38,175 (65.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Oneida a presidential bellwether county?

Oneida has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Wisconsin's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%).