Oconto, Wisconsin — Presidential Election Results
Oconto, Wisconsin has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 42.6 pts more Rep. than Wisconsin overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Wisconsin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 8,706 | 52.5% | 8.7 pts (1,446 votes) | 16,596 | — | 9.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 11,043 | 55.8% | 12.7 pts (2,509 votes) | 19,794 | -3.8 pts | 13.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 9,927 | 52.3% | 6.2 pts (1,172 votes) | 18,968 | +19.1 pts | 7.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 10,741 | 54.1% | 9.4 pts (1,876 votes) | 19,859 | -15.8 pts | 16.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 13,253 | 66.3% | 36.9 pts (7,369 votes) | 19,978 | -28.9 pts | 37.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 16,226 | 69.9% | 41.0 pts (9,511 votes) | 23,215 | -3.0 pts | 42.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 17,675 | 70.9% | 43.0 pts (10,708 votes) | 24,912 | -2.0 pts | 42.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 35,804 | 46.4% of population |
| 2004 | 37,354 | 53.0% of population |
| 2008 | 37,816 | 50.2% of population |
| 2012 | 37,418 | 53.1% of population |
| 2016 | 37,475 | 53.3% of population |
| 2020 | 39,077 | 59.4% of population |
| 2024 | 40,037 | 62.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Oconto shifted 34.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Oconto has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Wisconsin's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Wisconsin Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Oconto voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Oconto has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Oconto?
Oconto's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 6.3 points (1,172 votes) out of 18,968 total votes cast.
Has Oconto ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Oconto changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Oconto?
The widest margin on record for Oconto was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 43.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Oconto relative to its population?
In 2024, 24,912 votes were recorded in Oconto against a total population of 40,037 (62.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Oconto a presidential bellwether county?
Oconto has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Wisconsin's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%).