Lincoln, Washington — Presidential Election Results

Lincoln, Washington has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 70.6 pts more Rep. than Washington overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Washington
2000 George W. Bush Republican 3,546 68.2% 41.0 pts (2,129 votes) 5,196 — 48.8 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 4,015 69.1% 39.7 pts (2,309 votes) 5,811 +2.5 pts 47.7 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 3,803 63.6% 29.6 pts (1,771 votes) 5,977 +10.0 pts 47.9 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 4,063 69.2% 40.7 pts (2,390 votes) 5,872 -11.3 pts 56.9 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 4,108 71.9% 50.1 pts (2,864 votes) 5,713 -11.8 pts 71.1 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 5,150 73.2% 48.9 pts (3,437 votes) 7,033 +3.4 pts 69.9 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 5,272 73.8% 50.3 pts (3,594 votes) 7,144 -1.6 pts 70.6 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 10,143 51.2% of population
2004 10,442 55.7% of population
2008 10,608 56.3% of population
2012 10,429 56.3% of population
2016 10,335 55.3% of population
2020 10,927 64.4% of population
2024 11,862 60.2% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Lincoln shifted 8.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+42.9 pts 2004: R+40.4 pts 2008: R+30.4 pts 2012: R+41.7 pts 2016: R+53.5 pts 2020: R+50.1 pts 2024: R+51.7 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Lincoln has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Washington's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Washington Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Lincoln voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Lincoln has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Lincoln?

Lincoln's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 30.4 points (1,771 votes) out of 5,977 total votes cast.

Has Lincoln ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Lincoln has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Lincoln?

The widest margin on record for Lincoln was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 53.5 points.

How many votes were cast in Lincoln relative to its population?

In 2024, 7,144 votes were recorded in Lincoln against a total population of 11,862 (60.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Lincoln a presidential bellwether county?

Lincoln has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Washington's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).