Cowlitz, Washington — Presidential Election Results

Cowlitz, Washington has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 39.4 pts more Rep. than Washington overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Washington
2000 Al Gore Democratic 18,233 49.3% 3.7 pts (1,360 votes) 36,957 — 2.0 pts more Rep.
2004 John Kerry Democratic 21,589 50.8% 3.2 pts (1,372 votes) 42,473 -0.6 pts 4.0 pts more Rep.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 24,597 54.4% 11.1 pts (5,043 votes) 45,229 +8.1 pts 6.1 pts more Rep.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 22,726 50.9% 4.4 pts (1,980 votes) 44,620 -6.9 pts 10.7 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 24,185 52.9% 13.7 pts (6,277 votes) 45,692 -19.5 pts 32.5 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 34,424 57.1% 17.4 pts (10,486 votes) 60,280 -3.1 pts 37.8 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 34,580 58.3% 19.8 pts (11,755 votes) 59,325 -2.5 pts 39.4 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 92,984 39.7% of population
2004 95,541 44.5% of population
2008 101,688 44.5% of population
2012 101,663 43.9% of population
2016 104,740 43.6% of population
2020 111,021 54.3% of population
2024 113,982 52.0% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Cowlitz shifted 24.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+3.9 pts 2004: D+3.3 pts 2008: D+11.4 pts 2012: D+4.6 pts 2016: R+14.9 pts 2020: R+18.0 pts 2024: R+20.5 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Cowlitz has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Washington's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Washington Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Cowlitz voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Cowlitz has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Cowlitz?

Cowlitz's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when John Kerry (Democratic) won by 3.3 points (1,372 votes) out of 42,473 total votes cast.

Has Cowlitz ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Cowlitz changed which party won the county in: 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Cowlitz?

The widest margin on record for Cowlitz was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 20.5 points.

How many votes were cast in Cowlitz relative to its population?

In 2024, 59,325 votes were recorded in Cowlitz against a total population of 113,982 (52.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Cowlitz a presidential bellwether county?

Cowlitz has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Washington's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).