Grays Harbor, Washington — Presidential Election Results
Grays Harbor, Washington has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 25.1 pts more Rep. than Washington overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Washington |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 13,304 | 51.2% | 8.0 pts (2,079 votes) | 25,970 | — | 2.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 14,583 | 52.2% | 6.1 pts (1,712 votes) | 27,953 | -2.2 pts | 1.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 16,354 | 56.0% | 14.6 pts (4,250 votes) | 29,184 | +8.7 pts | 2.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 15,960 | 55.6% | 14.1 pts (4,046 votes) | 28,684 | -0.4 pts | 0.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 14,067 | 49.6% | 7.2 pts (2,047 votes) | 28,367 | -22.4 pts | 25.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 19,877 | 51.7% | 6.6 pts (2,523 votes) | 38,441 | +1.1 pts | 26.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 19,432 | 51.4% | 6.0 pts (2,271 votes) | 37,793 | +0.6 pts | 25.1 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 67,075 | 38.7% of population |
| 2004 | 69,775 | 40.1% of population |
| 2008 | 72,027 | 40.5% of population |
| 2012 | 71,773 | 40.0% of population |
| 2016 | 71,531 | 39.7% of population |
| 2020 | 75,863 | 50.7% of population |
| 2024 | 77,893 | 48.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Grays Harbor shifted 14.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Grays Harbor has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Washington's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Washington Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Grays Harbor voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Grays Harbor has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Grays Harbor?
Grays Harbor's closest recorded margin was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 6.2 points (2,271 votes) out of 37,793 total votes cast.
Has Grays Harbor ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Grays Harbor changed which party won the county in: 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Grays Harbor?
The widest margin on record for Grays Harbor was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 14.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Grays Harbor relative to its population?
In 2024, 37,793 votes were recorded in Grays Harbor against a total population of 77,893 (48.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Grays Harbor a presidential bellwether county?
Grays Harbor has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Washington's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).