Winchester City, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Winchester City, Virginia has voted Democratic in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2008. In 2024, it was 4.0 pts more Dem. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,314 | 54.7% | 12.6 pts (996 votes) | 7,886 | — | 4.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,283 | 56.5% | 14.1 pts (1,316 votes) | 9,343 | -1.2 pts | 6.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 5,268 | 52.0% | 5.4 pts (543 votes) | 10,126 | +19.7 pts | 0.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 5,094 | 49.5% | 1.4 pts (148 votes) | 10,296 | -4.0 pts | 2.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 5,164 | 48.4% | 3.5 pts (374 votes) | 10,667 | +2.3 pts | 1.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 6,610 | 54.6% | 11.5 pts (1,389 votes) | 12,113 | +8.0 pts | 1.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 6,407 | 54.2% | 9.8 pts (1,155 votes) | 11,822 | -1.8 pts | 4.0 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 23,699 | 33.3% of population |
| 2004 | 25,175 | 37.1% of population |
| 2008 | 26,004 | 38.9% of population |
| 2012 | 27,008 | 38.1% of population |
| 2016 | 27,785 | 38.4% of population |
| 2020 | 28,003 | 43.3% of population |
| 2024 | 27,800 | 42.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Winchester City shifted 23.0 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Winchester City has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Winchester City voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Winchester City has voted Democratic in 5 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 2 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Winchester City?
Winchester City's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 1.5 points (148 votes) out of 10,296 total votes cast.
Has Winchester City ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Winchester City changed which party won the county in: 2008, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Winchester City?
The widest margin on record for Winchester City was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 14.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Winchester City relative to its population?
In 2024, 11,822 votes were recorded in Winchester City against a total population of 27,800 (42.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Winchester City a presidential bellwether county?
Winchester City has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).