Arlington, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Arlington, Virginia has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 54.0 pts more Dem. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 50,260 | 60.1% | 26.0 pts (21,705 votes) | 83,559 | — | 35.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 63,987 | 67.6% | 36.3 pts (34,352 votes) | 94,650 | +9.2 pts | 45.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 78,994 | 71.7% | 44.6 pts (49,118 votes) | 110,153 | +8.4 pts | 38.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 81,269 | 69.1% | 39.8 pts (46,795 votes) | 117,608 | -4.7 pts | 36.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 92,016 | 75.8% | 59.2 pts (71,830 votes) | 121,356 | +23.6 pts | 58.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 105,344 | 80.6% | 63.5 pts (83,026 votes) | 130,739 | +1.0 pts | 54.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 100,446 | 78.3% | 58.6 pts (75,223 votes) | 128,362 | -5.2 pts | 54.0 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 189,198 | 44.2% of population |
| 2004 | 187,901 | 50.4% of population |
| 2008 | 196,305 | 56.1% of population |
| 2012 | 221,454 | 53.1% of population |
| 2016 | 231,259 | 52.5% of population |
| 2020 | 238,829 | 54.7% of population |
| 2024 | 239,807 | 53.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Arlington shifted 32.3 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Arlington has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Arlington voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Arlington has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Arlington?
Arlington's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 27.5 points (21,705 votes) out of 83,559 total votes cast.
Has Arlington ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Arlington has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Arlington?
The widest margin on record for Arlington was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 65.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Arlington relative to its population?
In 2024, 128,362 votes were recorded in Arlington against a total population of 239,807 (53.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Arlington a presidential bellwether county?
Arlington has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).