Spotsylvania, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Spotsylvania, Virginia has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 14.6 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 20,739 | 59.2% | 20.8 pts (7,284 votes) | 35,021 | — | 13.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 28,527 | 62.8% | 26.2 pts (11,904 votes) | 45,445 | -5.1 pts | 18.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 28,610 | 52.9% | 6.9 pts (3,713 votes) | 54,069 | +19.4 pts | 13.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 31,844 | 54.9% | 11.5 pts (6,679 votes) | 57,974 | -4.8 pts | 15.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 34,623 | 55.3% | 16.6 pts (10,416 votes) | 62,562 | -6.0 pts | 23.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 39,411 | 52.3% | 6.8 pts (5,104 votes) | 75,317 | +10.8 pts | 17.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 42,531 | 53.7% | 8.6 pts (6,784 votes) | 79,209 | -1.7 pts | 14.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 91,387 | 38.3% of population |
| 2004 | 110,580 | 41.1% of population |
| 2008 | 120,195 | 45.0% of population |
| 2012 | 125,827 | 46.1% of population |
| 2016 | 131,252 | 47.7% of population |
| 2020 | 140,611 | 53.6% of population |
| 2024 | 152,021 | 52.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Spotsylvania shifted 12.6 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Spotsylvania has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Spotsylvania voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Spotsylvania has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Spotsylvania?
Spotsylvania's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 6.9 points (5,104 votes) out of 75,317 total votes cast.
Has Spotsylvania ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Spotsylvania has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Spotsylvania?
The widest margin on record for Spotsylvania was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 26.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Spotsylvania relative to its population?
In 2024, 79,209 votes were recorded in Spotsylvania against a total population of 152,021 (52.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Spotsylvania a presidential bellwether county?
Spotsylvania has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).