Smyth, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Smyth, Virginia has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 66.7 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 6,580 | 56.0% | 14.9 pts (1,744 votes) | 11,740 | — | 7.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 7,906 | 64.2% | 30.5 pts (3,763 votes) | 12,319 | -16.0 pts | 23.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 7,817 | 63.5% | 29.1 pts (3,578 votes) | 12,302 | +1.6 pts | 36.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 8,379 | 65.6% | 32.9 pts (4,208 votes) | 12,777 | -3.9 pts | 37.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 9,750 | 75.6% | 55.0 pts (7,085 votes) | 12,890 | -23.5 pts | 62.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 10,963 | 77.6% | 56.3 pts (7,955 votes) | 14,136 | +0.1 pts | 67.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 11,521 | 79.9% | 60.4 pts (8,716 votes) | 14,420 | -3.9 pts | 66.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 33,079 | 35.5% of population |
| 2004 | 32,570 | 37.8% of population |
| 2008 | 32,386 | 38.0% of population |
| 2012 | 31,896 | 40.1% of population |
| 2016 | 31,126 | 41.4% of population |
| 2020 | 29,780 | 47.5% of population |
| 2024 | 29,137 | 49.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Smyth shifted 45.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Smyth has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Smyth voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Smyth has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Smyth?
Smyth's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 15.3 points (1,744 votes) out of 11,740 total votes cast.
Has Smyth ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Smyth has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Smyth?
The widest margin on record for Smyth was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 60.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Smyth relative to its population?
In 2024, 14,420 votes were recorded in Smyth against a total population of 29,137 (49.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Smyth a presidential bellwether county?
Smyth has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).