Shenandoah, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Shenandoah, Virginia has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 48.6 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 9,636 | 66.7% | 36.1 pts (5,216 votes) | 14,452 | — | 28.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 11,820 | 68.9% | 38.7 pts (6,634 votes) | 17,146 | -1.9 pts | 30.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 12,005 | 62.5% | 26.5 pts (5,093 votes) | 19,223 | +12.1 pts | 33.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 12,538 | 64.7% | 31.3 pts (6,069 votes) | 19,373 | -5.0 pts | 35.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 14,094 | 68.7% | 43.0 pts (8,821 votes) | 20,513 | -13.6 pts | 51.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 16,463 | 69.5% | 40.6 pts (9,627 votes) | 23,684 | +4.2 pts | 51.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 17,215 | 70.6% | 42.3 pts (10,301 votes) | 24,380 | -1.4 pts | 48.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 35,240 | 41.0% of population |
| 2004 | 38,272 | 44.8% of population |
| 2008 | 41,720 | 46.1% of population |
| 2012 | 42,530 | 45.6% of population |
| 2016 | 42,907 | 47.8% of population |
| 2020 | 44,256 | 53.5% of population |
| 2024 | 45,441 | 53.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Shenandoah shifted 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Shenandoah has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Shenandoah voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Shenandoah has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Shenandoah?
Shenandoah's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 26.9 points (5,093 votes) out of 19,223 total votes cast.
Has Shenandoah ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Shenandoah has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Shenandoah?
The widest margin on record for Shenandoah was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 45.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Shenandoah relative to its population?
In 2024, 24,380 votes were recorded in Shenandoah against a total population of 45,441 (53.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Shenandoah a presidential bellwether county?
Shenandoah has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).