Rockingham, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Rockingham, Virginia has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 43.3 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 17,482 | 72.9% | 48.5 pts (11,648 votes) | 23,994 | — | 41.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 21,737 | 74.4% | 49.5 pts (14,464 votes) | 29,216 | +0.1 pts | 41.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 22,468 | 67.4% | 36.0 pts (12,015 votes) | 33,334 | +13.4 pts | 42.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 24,186 | 69.4% | 40.5 pts (14,121 votes) | 34,866 | -4.7 pts | 45.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 25,990 | 69.3% | 44.3 pts (16,624 votes) | 37,487 | -5.8 pts | 52.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 30,349 | 69.3% | 40.4 pts (17,705 votes) | 43,821 | +5.8 pts | 51.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 33,033 | 68.0% | 37.0 pts (17,998 votes) | 48,581 | +3.7 pts | 43.3 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 67,977 | 35.3% of population |
| 2004 | 70,789 | 41.3% of population |
| 2008 | 75,075 | 44.4% of population |
| 2012 | 77,137 | 45.2% of population |
| 2016 | 79,367 | 47.2% of population |
| 2020 | 83,779 | 52.3% of population |
| 2024 | 87,674 | 55.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Rockingham shifted 12.5 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Rockingham has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Rockingham voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Rockingham has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Rockingham?
Rockingham's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 36.5 points (12,015 votes) out of 33,334 total votes cast.
Has Rockingham ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Rockingham has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Rockingham?
The widest margin on record for Rockingham was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 50.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Rockingham relative to its population?
In 2024, 48,581 votes were recorded in Rockingham against a total population of 87,674 (55.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Rockingham a presidential bellwether county?
Rockingham has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).