Rockbridge, Virginia — Presidential Election Results

Rockbridge, Virginia has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 40.0 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Virginia
2000 George W. Bush Republican 4,522 57.8% 20.0 pts (1,569 votes) 7,827 — 12.7 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 5,412 58.9% 19.4 pts (1,785 votes) 9,181 +1.2 pts 11.5 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 5,732 56.2% 13.6 pts (1,385 votes) 10,195 +6.0 pts 20.1 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 5,898 58.0% 17.8 pts (1,810 votes) 10,177 -4.4 pts 22.1 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 6,680 61.9% 29.4 pts (3,172 votes) 10,795 -13.0 pts 36.8 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 8,088 65.3% 32.3 pts (4,002 votes) 12,377 -1.7 pts 43.2 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 8,468 66.4% 33.8 pts (4,308 votes) 12,752 -1.2 pts 40.0 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 20,835 37.6% of population
2004 21,432 42.8% of population
2008 22,363 45.6% of population
2012 22,378 45.5% of population
2016 22,450 48.1% of population
2020 22,657 54.6% of population
2024 22,368 57.0% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Rockbridge shifted 13.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+21.0 pts 2004: R+19.7 pts 2008: R+13.7 pts 2012: R+18.1 pts 2016: R+31.1 pts 2020: R+32.9 pts 2024: R+34.1 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Rockbridge has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Virginia Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Rockbridge voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Rockbridge has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Rockbridge?

Rockbridge's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 13.7 points (1,385 votes) out of 10,195 total votes cast.

Has Rockbridge ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Rockbridge has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Rockbridge?

The widest margin on record for Rockbridge was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 34.1 points.

How many votes were cast in Rockbridge relative to its population?

In 2024, 12,752 votes were recorded in Rockbridge against a total population of 22,368 (57.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Rockbridge a presidential bellwether county?

Rockbridge has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).