Prince William, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Prince William, Virginia has voted Democratic in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2008. In 2024, it was 12.6 pts more Dem. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 52,788 | 52.5% | 8.0 pts (8,043 votes) | 100,511 | — | 0.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 69,776 | 52.8% | 6.4 pts (8,505 votes) | 132,063 | +1.8 pts | 1.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 93,435 | 57.5% | 15.9 pts (25,814 votes) | 162,446 | +22.5 pts | 9.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 103,331 | 57.3% | 16.0 pts (28,873 votes) | 180,195 | +0.2 pts | 12.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 113,144 | 57.6% | 21.1 pts (41,423 votes) | 196,538 | +6.2 pts | 16.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 142,863 | 62.6% | 27.0 pts (61,641 votes) | 228,267 | +5.1 pts | 17.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 131,128 | 57.6% | 18.0 pts (40,925 votes) | 227,591 | -9.0 pts | 12.6 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 284,565 | 35.3% of population |
| 2004 | 337,439 | 39.1% of population |
| 2008 | 374,776 | 43.3% of population |
| 2012 | 429,616 | 41.9% of population |
| 2016 | 456,496 | 43.1% of population |
| 2020 | 482,863 | 47.3% of population |
| 2024 | 497,003 | 45.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Prince William shifted 26.7 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Prince William has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Prince William voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Prince William has voted Democratic in 5 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 2 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Prince William?
Prince William's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 6.5 points (8,505 votes) out of 132,063 total votes cast.
Has Prince William ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Prince William changed which party won the county in: 2008, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Prince William?
The widest margin on record for Prince William was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 27.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Prince William relative to its population?
In 2024, 227,591 votes were recorded in Prince William against a total population of 497,003 (45.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Prince William a presidential bellwether county?
Prince William has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).