Orange, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Orange, Virginia has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 30.8 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,991 | 57.1% | 17.8 pts (1,865 votes) | 10,483 | — | 10.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 7,749 | 59.9% | 21.1 pts (2,734 votes) | 12,928 | -3.0 pts | 13.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 8,506 | 53.8% | 8.9 pts (1,399 votes) | 15,801 | +12.5 pts | 15.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 9,244 | 56.5% | 14.5 pts (2,374 votes) | 16,354 | -5.8 pts | 18.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 10,521 | 60.9% | 26.4 pts (4,564 votes) | 17,270 | -13.0 pts | 33.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 12,426 | 59.9% | 21.4 pts (4,431 votes) | 20,754 | +6.0 pts | 32.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 13,764 | 61.9% | 24.7 pts (5,490 votes) | 22,247 | -3.2 pts | 30.8 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 25,981 | 40.3% of population |
| 2004 | 28,658 | 45.1% of population |
| 2008 | 33,077 | 47.8% of population |
| 2012 | 34,275 | 47.7% of population |
| 2016 | 35,354 | 48.8% of population |
| 2020 | 36,396 | 57.0% of population |
| 2024 | 38,986 | 57.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Orange shifted 6.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Orange has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Orange voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Orange has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Orange?
Orange's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 9.0 points (1,399 votes) out of 15,801 total votes cast.
Has Orange ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Orange has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Orange?
The widest margin on record for Orange was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 27.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Orange relative to its population?
In 2024, 22,247 votes were recorded in Orange against a total population of 38,986 (57.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Orange a presidential bellwether county?
Orange has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).