Nottoway, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Nottoway, Virginia has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 28.4 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,870 | 52.3% | 7.5 pts (410 votes) | 5,492 | — | 0.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,303 | 54.8% | 11.1 pts (668 votes) | 6,030 | -3.6 pts | 3.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 3,499 | 50.1% | 1.2 pts (86 votes) | 6,988 | +10.0 pts | 7.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 3,409 | 49.8% | 0.9 pts (65 votes) | 6,846 | +0.3 pts | 4.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 3,712 | 55.0% | 13.1 pts (883 votes) | 6,744 | -12.5 pts | 19.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 4,027 | 56.9% | 14.9 pts (1,056 votes) | 7,078 | -1.6 pts | 25.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 4,168 | 60.8% | 22.4 pts (1,532 votes) | 6,853 | -7.4 pts | 28.4 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 15,773 | 34.8% of population |
| 2004 | 15,628 | 38.6% of population |
| 2008 | 15,847 | 44.1% of population |
| 2012 | 15,756 | 43.5% of population |
| 2016 | 15,495 | 43.5% of population |
| 2020 | 15,645 | 45.2% of population |
| 2024 | 15,632 | 43.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Nottoway shifted 14.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Nottoway has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Nottoway voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Nottoway has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Nottoway?
Nottoway's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Mitt Romney (Republican) won by 1.0 points (65 votes) out of 6,846 total votes cast.
Has Nottoway ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Nottoway has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Nottoway?
The widest margin on record for Nottoway was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 22.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Nottoway relative to its population?
In 2024, 6,853 votes were recorded in Nottoway against a total population of 15,632 (43.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Nottoway a presidential bellwether county?
Nottoway has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).