Northumberland, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Northumberland, Virginia has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 27.2 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,362 | 60.0% | 22.2 pts (1,244 votes) | 5,605 | — | 14.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,832 | 59.8% | 20.0 pts (1,284 votes) | 6,409 | +2.6 pts | 11.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 4,041 | 54.6% | 9.8 pts (729 votes) | 7,406 | +10.2 pts | 16.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 4,310 | 57.0% | 14.8 pts (1,119 votes) | 7,558 | -5.0 pts | 18.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 4,302 | 58.2% | 19.6 pts (1,450 votes) | 7,398 | -5.4 pts | 25.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 4,485 | 57.4% | 15.8 pts (1,233 votes) | 7,815 | +4.3 pts | 26.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 4,938 | 60.2% | 21.2 pts (1,736 votes) | 8,205 | -5.4 pts | 27.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 12,229 | 45.8% of population |
| 2004 | 12,487 | 51.3% of population |
| 2008 | 12,496 | 59.3% of population |
| 2012 | 12,422 | 60.8% of population |
| 2016 | 12,176 | 60.8% of population |
| 2020 | 11,837 | 66.0% of population |
| 2024 | 12,397 | 66.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Northumberland shifted 1.4 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Northumberland has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Northumberland voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Northumberland has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Northumberland?
Northumberland's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 9.9 points (729 votes) out of 7,406 total votes cast.
Has Northumberland ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Northumberland has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Northumberland?
The widest margin on record for Northumberland was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 22.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Northumberland relative to its population?
In 2024, 8,205 votes were recorded in Northumberland against a total population of 12,397 (66.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Northumberland a presidential bellwether county?
Northumberland has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).