New Kent, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
New Kent, Virginia has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 38.0 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,934 | 64.3% | 30.7 pts (1,879 votes) | 6,114 | — | 23.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,414 | 68.1% | 37.4 pts (2,971 votes) | 7,946 | -6.4 pts | 29.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 6,385 | 63.9% | 28.9 pts (2,892 votes) | 9,991 | +8.5 pts | 35.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 7,246 | 66.2% | 33.7 pts (3,691 votes) | 10,953 | -4.9 pts | 38.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 8,118 | 66.3% | 37.3 pts (4,572 votes) | 12,242 | -5.0 pts | 44.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 9,631 | 66.6% | 34.6 pts (5,010 votes) | 14,471 | +4.0 pts | 45.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 10,974 | 65.5% | 31.9 pts (5,333 votes) | 16,744 | +3.1 pts | 38.0 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 13,537 | 45.2% of population |
| 2004 | 15,317 | 51.9% of population |
| 2008 | 17,728 | 56.4% of population |
| 2012 | 19,149 | 57.2% of population |
| 2016 | 21,009 | 58.3% of population |
| 2020 | 23,126 | 62.6% of population |
| 2024 | 27,218 | 61.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in New Kent shifted 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
New Kent has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has New Kent voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, New Kent has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in New Kent?
New Kent's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 29.3 points (2,892 votes) out of 9,991 total votes cast.
Has New Kent ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- New Kent has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in New Kent?
The widest margin on record for New Kent was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 39.2 points.
How many votes were cast in New Kent relative to its population?
In 2024, 16,744 votes were recorded in New Kent against a total population of 27,218 (61.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is New Kent a presidential bellwether county?
New Kent has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).