Montgomery, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Montgomery, Virginia has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2016. In 2024, it was 2.4 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 13,991 | 51.5% | 8.4 pts (2,271 votes) | 27,160 | — | 0.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 17,070 | 54.2% | 9.3 pts (2,942 votes) | 31,515 | -0.6 pts | 1.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 21,031 | 51.7% | 4.9 pts (2,003 votes) | 40,653 | +14.4 pts | 1.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 20,006 | 48.8% | 0.3 pts (103 votes) | 41,009 | -5.3 pts | 4.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 20,021 | 46.5% | 1.3 pts (562 votes) | 43,031 | +1.7 pts | 4.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 23,218 | 51.6% | 5.7 pts (2,589 votes) | 45,037 | +4.5 pts | 4.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 23,811 | 50.9% | 3.5 pts (1,632 votes) | 46,767 | -2.4 pts | 2.4 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 83,799 | 32.4% of population |
| 2004 | 87,289 | 36.1% of population |
| 2008 | 92,724 | 43.8% of population |
| 2012 | 95,652 | 42.9% of population |
| 2016 | 98,172 | 43.8% of population |
| 2020 | 99,584 | 45.2% of population |
| 2024 | 98,998 | 47.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Montgomery shifted 12.4 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Montgomery has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Montgomery voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Montgomery has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Montgomery?
Montgomery's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Mitt Romney (Republican) won by 0.3 points (103 votes) out of 41,009 total votes cast.
Has Montgomery ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Montgomery changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2012, 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Montgomery?
The widest margin on record for Montgomery was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 9.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Montgomery relative to its population?
In 2024, 46,767 votes were recorded in Montgomery against a total population of 98,998 (47.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Montgomery a presidential bellwether county?
Montgomery has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).