Mecklenburg, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Mecklenburg, Virginia has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 26.8 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 6,600 | 56.6% | 15.5 pts (1,803 votes) | 11,654 | — | 7.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 7,319 | 57.3% | 15.9 pts (2,026 votes) | 12,780 | -0.2 pts | 7.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 7,817 | 51.8% | 4.6 pts (690 votes) | 15,082 | +11.4 pts | 11.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 7,973 | 52.9% | 7.0 pts (1,052 votes) | 15,077 | -2.4 pts | 11.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 8,288 | 55.5% | 13.4 pts (2,003 votes) | 14,945 | -6.7 pts | 19.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 9,266 | 57.2% | 15.2 pts (2,463 votes) | 16,207 | -1.6 pts | 25.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 9,791 | 60.2% | 20.8 pts (3,387 votes) | 16,266 | -5.6 pts | 26.8 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 32,384 | 36.0% of population |
| 2004 | 32,547 | 39.3% of population |
| 2008 | 32,920 | 45.8% of population |
| 2012 | 31,686 | 47.6% of population |
| 2016 | 30,813 | 48.5% of population |
| 2020 | 30,283 | 53.5% of population |
| 2024 | 30,824 | 52.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Mecklenburg shifted 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Mecklenburg has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Mecklenburg voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Mecklenburg has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Mecklenburg?
Mecklenburg's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 4.6 points (690 votes) out of 15,082 total votes cast.
Has Mecklenburg ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Mecklenburg has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Mecklenburg?
The widest margin on record for Mecklenburg was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 20.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Mecklenburg relative to its population?
In 2024, 16,266 votes were recorded in Mecklenburg against a total population of 30,824 (52.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Mecklenburg a presidential bellwether county?
Mecklenburg has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).