Manassas City, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Manassas City, Virginia has voted Democratic in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2008. In 2024, it was 9.2 pts more Dem. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 6,752 | 54.4% | 12.0 pts (1,490 votes) | 12,410 | — | 4.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 7,257 | 56.2% | 13.1 pts (1,695 votes) | 12,903 | -0.8 pts | 5.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 7,518 | 55.2% | 11.3 pts (1,543 votes) | 13,627 | +24.7 pts | 5.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 8,478 | 55.8% | 13.3 pts (2,015 votes) | 15,200 | +2.1 pts | 9.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 8,423 | 54.7% | 16.0 pts (2,470 votes) | 15,411 | +3.7 pts | 11.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 10,356 | 61.0% | 24.1 pts (4,100 votes) | 16,978 | +7.5 pts | 14.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 9,048 | 56.5% | 14.8 pts (2,378 votes) | 16,021 | -9.6 pts | 9.2 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 34,914 | 35.5% of population |
| 2004 | 36,564 | 35.3% of population |
| 2008 | 34,858 | 39.1% of population |
| 2012 | 40,284 | 37.7% of population |
| 2016 | 41,189 | 37.4% of population |
| 2020 | 42,695 | 39.8% of population |
| 2024 | 43,616 | 36.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Manassas City shifted 27.5 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Manassas City has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Manassas City voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Manassas City has voted Democratic in 5 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 2 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Manassas City?
Manassas City's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 11.4 points (1,543 votes) out of 13,627 total votes cast.
Has Manassas City ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Manassas City changed which party won the county in: 2008, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Manassas City?
The widest margin on record for Manassas City was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 24.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Manassas City relative to its population?
In 2024, 16,021 votes were recorded in Manassas City against a total population of 43,616 (36.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Manassas City a presidential bellwether county?
Manassas City has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).