Lynchburg City, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Lynchburg City, Virginia has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2024. In 2024, it was 13.9 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 12,518 | 53.3% | 9.1 pts (2,144 votes) | 23,506 | — | 1.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 14,400 | 54.7% | 10.1 pts (2,673 votes) | 26,340 | -0.9 pts | 2.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 17,638 | 51.4% | 4.0 pts (1,369 votes) | 34,341 | +6.2 pts | 10.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 19,806 | 54.3% | 10.6 pts (3,858 votes) | 36,448 | -6.8 pts | 14.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 17,982 | 50.4% | 8.9 pts (3,190 votes) | 35,671 | +1.1 pts | 15.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 18,048 | 49.6% | 2.6 pts (951 votes) | 36,364 | +12.4 pts | 7.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 19,574 | 53.3% | 7.9 pts (2,910 votes) | 36,715 | -10.7 pts | 13.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 65,330 | 36.0% of population |
| 2004 | 67,021 | 39.3% of population |
| 2008 | 74,018 | 46.4% of population |
| 2012 | 77,269 | 47.2% of population |
| 2016 | 79,710 | 44.8% of population |
| 2020 | 78,993 | 46.0% of population |
| 2024 | 80,301 | 45.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Lynchburg City shifted 1.3 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Lynchburg City has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Lynchburg City voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Lynchburg City has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Lynchburg City?
Lynchburg City's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 2.7 points (951 votes) out of 36,364 total votes cast.
Has Lynchburg City ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Lynchburg City changed which party won the county in: 2020, 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Lynchburg City?
The widest margin on record for Lynchburg City was in 2012, when Mitt Romney (Republican) won by 10.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Lynchburg City relative to its population?
In 2024, 36,715 votes were recorded in Lynchburg City against a total population of 80,301 (45.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Lynchburg City a presidential bellwether county?
Lynchburg City has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%).