Lunenburg, Virginia — Presidential Election Results

Lunenburg, Virginia has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 28.8 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Virginia
2000 George W. Bush Republican 2,510 54.7% 10.5 pts (484 votes) 4,591 — 2.4 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 2,858 54.5% 9.5 pts (496 votes) 5,245 +1.2 pts 1.2 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 2,900 51.3% 3.5 pts (197 votes) 5,650 +6.0 pts 9.9 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 2,969 51.8% 5.0 pts (285 votes) 5,734 -1.5 pts 9.0 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 3,204 57.4% 17.5 pts (977 votes) 5,586 -12.9 pts 23.6 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 3,537 58.9% 18.6 pts (1,119 votes) 6,002 -0.8 pts 29.1 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 3,594 61.1% 22.8 pts (1,341 votes) 5,879 -4.1 pts 28.8 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 13,093 35.1% of population
2004 12,952 40.5% of population
2008 12,936 43.7% of population
2012 12,638 45.4% of population
2016 12,319 45.3% of population
2020 11,950 50.2% of population
2024 12,060 48.7% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Lunenburg shifted 12.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+10.7 pts 2004: R+9.5 pts 2008: R+3.5 pts 2012: R+5.0 pts 2016: R+18.0 pts 2020: R+18.8 pts 2024: R+22.9 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Lunenburg has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Virginia Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Lunenburg voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Lunenburg has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Lunenburg?

Lunenburg's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 3.5 points (197 votes) out of 5,650 total votes cast.

Has Lunenburg ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Lunenburg has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Lunenburg?

The widest margin on record for Lunenburg was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 22.9 points.

How many votes were cast in Lunenburg relative to its population?

In 2024, 5,879 votes were recorded in Lunenburg against a total population of 12,060 (48.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Lunenburg a presidential bellwether county?

Lunenburg has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).