Louisa, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Louisa, Virginia has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 32.3 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,461 | 54.1% | 11.4 pts (1,152 votes) | 10,096 | — | 3.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 7,083 | 58.9% | 18.6 pts (2,239 votes) | 12,035 | -7.0 pts | 10.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 8,182 | 53.3% | 7.8 pts (1,204 votes) | 15,353 | +10.8 pts | 14.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 9,215 | 56.0% | 13.7 pts (2,262 votes) | 16,452 | -6.0 pts | 17.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 10,528 | 59.7% | 24.5 pts (4,316 votes) | 17,631 | -11.8 pts | 31.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 13,294 | 60.7% | 22.9 pts (5,025 votes) | 21,916 | +2.5 pts | 33.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 15,084 | 62.7% | 26.2 pts (6,305 votes) | 24,067 | -3.1 pts | 32.3 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 25,819 | 39.1% of population |
| 2004 | 28,582 | 42.1% of population |
| 2008 | 32,475 | 47.3% of population |
| 2012 | 33,494 | 49.1% of population |
| 2016 | 35,304 | 49.9% of population |
| 2020 | 37,784 | 58.0% of population |
| 2024 | 42,109 | 57.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Louisa shifted 14.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Louisa has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Louisa voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Louisa has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Louisa?
Louisa's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 7.9 points (1,204 votes) out of 15,353 total votes cast.
Has Louisa ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Louisa has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Louisa?
The widest margin on record for Louisa was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 26.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Louisa relative to its population?
In 2024, 24,067 votes were recorded in Louisa against a total population of 42,109 (57.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Louisa a presidential bellwether county?
Louisa has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).