Henrico, Virginia — Presidential Election Results

Henrico, Virginia has voted Democratic in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2008. In 2024, it was 23.4 pts more Dem. than Virginia overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Virginia
2000 George W. Bush Republican 62,887 55.0% 12.5 pts (14,242 votes) 114,252 — 4.5 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 71,809 53.8% 8.2 pts (10,945 votes) 133,418 +4.5 pts 0.0 pts more Dem.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 86,323 55.7% 12.2 pts (18,942 votes) 154,966 +20.6 pts 6.0 pts more Dem.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 89,594 55.2% 11.8 pts (19,145 votes) 162,241 -0.4 pts 8.0 pts more Dem.
2016 Hillary Clinton Democratic 93,935 57.4% 20.8 pts (34,078 votes) 163,654 +10.2 pts 16.5 pts more Dem.
2020 Joseph R Biden Jr Democratic 116,572 63.6% 29.0 pts (53,132 votes) 183,299 +7.4 pts 19.2 pts more Dem.
2024 Kamala D Harris Democratic 115,040 63.7% 28.9 pts (52,158 votes) 180,642 -0.2 pts 23.4 pts more Dem.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 264,385 43.2% of population
2004 280,290 47.6% of population
2008 300,198 51.6% of population
2012 315,587 51.4% of population
2016 325,931 50.2% of population
2020 334,939 54.7% of population
2024 338,696 53.3% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Henrico shifted 42.1 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+12.8 pts 2004: R+8.2 pts 2008: D+12.3 pts 2012: D+12.0 pts 2016: D+22.2 pts 2020: D+29.5 pts 2024: D+29.3 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Henrico has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Virginia Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Henrico voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Henrico has voted Democratic in 5 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 2 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Henrico?

Henrico's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 8.2 points (10,945 votes) out of 133,418 total votes cast.

Has Henrico ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Henrico changed which party won the county in: 2008, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Henrico?

The widest margin on record for Henrico was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 29.5 points.

How many votes were cast in Henrico relative to its population?

In 2024, 180,642 votes were recorded in Henrico against a total population of 338,696 (53.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Henrico a presidential bellwether county?

Henrico has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).