Harrisonburg City, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Harrisonburg City, Virginia has voted Democratic in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2008. In 2024, it was 20.0 pts more Dem. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,741 | 57.7% | 22.7 pts (2,259 votes) | 9,958 | — | 16.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 6,165 | 55.9% | 13.0 pts (1,439 votes) | 11,030 | +11.3 pts | 4.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 8,444 | 57.5% | 16.3 pts (2,396 votes) | 14,675 | +29.7 pts | 10.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 8,654 | 55.5% | 13.4 pts (2,089 votes) | 15,593 | -2.8 pts | 9.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 10,212 | 56.8% | 22.0 pts (3,950 votes) | 17,993 | +10.3 pts | 18.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 11,022 | 64.5% | 31.8 pts (5,431 votes) | 17,093 | +8.7 pts | 22.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 10,641 | 61.7% | 25.4 pts (4,375 votes) | 17,245 | -6.8 pts | 20.0 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 40,437 | 24.6% of population |
| 2004 | 43,753 | 25.2% of population |
| 2008 | 47,286 | 31.0% of population |
| 2012 | 51,312 | 30.4% of population |
| 2016 | 53,542 | 33.6% of population |
| 2020 | 51,705 | 33.1% of population |
| 2024 | 51,164 | 33.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Harrisonburg City shifted 50.4 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Harrisonburg City has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Harrisonburg City voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Harrisonburg City has voted Democratic in 5 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 2 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Harrisonburg City?
Harrisonburg City's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 13.2 points (1,439 votes) out of 11,030 total votes cast.
Has Harrisonburg City ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Harrisonburg City changed which party won the county in: 2008, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Harrisonburg City?
The widest margin on record for Harrisonburg City was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 32.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Harrisonburg City relative to its population?
In 2024, 17,245 votes were recorded in Harrisonburg City against a total population of 51,164 (33.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Harrisonburg City a presidential bellwether county?
Harrisonburg City has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).