Hanover, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Hanover, Virginia has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 32.0 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 28,614 | 68.8% | 39.8 pts (16,570 votes) | 41,585 | — | 32.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 35,404 | 71.4% | 43.3 pts (21,463 votes) | 49,611 | -2.7 pts | 35.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 37,344 | 66.4% | 33.6 pts (18,897 votes) | 56,248 | +9.6 pts | 40.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 39,940 | 67.6% | 36.7 pts (21,646 votes) | 59,058 | -3.3 pts | 41.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 39,630 | 63.2% | 32.3 pts (20,248 votes) | 62,753 | +2.9 pts | 40.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 44,318 | 62.4% | 26.8 pts (19,011 votes) | 70,988 | +7.0 pts | 37.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 45,569 | 62.3% | 25.8 pts (18,836 votes) | 73,087 | +1.3 pts | 32.0 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 86,972 | 47.8% of population |
| 2004 | 95,295 | 52.1% of population |
| 2008 | 99,404 | 56.6% of population |
| 2012 | 100,339 | 58.9% of population |
| 2016 | 104,290 | 60.2% of population |
| 2020 | 110,207 | 64.4% of population |
| 2024 | 115,309 | 63.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Hanover shifted 14.7 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Hanover has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Hanover voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Hanover has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Hanover?
Hanover's closest recorded margin was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 26.1 points (18,836 votes) out of 73,087 total votes cast.
Has Hanover ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Hanover has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Hanover?
The widest margin on record for Hanover was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 43.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Hanover relative to its population?
In 2024, 73,087 votes were recorded in Hanover against a total population of 115,309 (63.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Hanover a presidential bellwether county?
Hanover has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).