Grayson, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Grayson, Virginia has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 68.5 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,236 | 61.8% | 25.8 pts (1,769 votes) | 6,852 | — | 18.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,655 | 65.2% | 31.2 pts (2,225 votes) | 7,137 | -5.0 pts | 23.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 4,540 | 62.9% | 28.5 pts (2,060 votes) | 7,220 | +2.1 pts | 35.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 4,801 | 67.4% | 38.4 pts (2,733 votes) | 7,121 | -10.4 pts | 43.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 5,592 | 76.8% | 57.4 pts (4,185 votes) | 7,285 | -20.0 pts | 65.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,529 | 80.3% | 61.4 pts (4,994 votes) | 8,131 | -2.1 pts | 72.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,544 | 80.8% | 62.2 pts (5,041 votes) | 8,104 | -0.7 pts | 68.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 16,782 | 40.8% of population |
| 2004 | 16,301 | 43.8% of population |
| 2008 | 15,938 | 45.3% of population |
| 2012 | 15,143 | 47.0% of population |
| 2016 | 15,867 | 45.9% of population |
| 2020 | 15,279 | 53.2% of population |
| 2024 | 15,265 | 53.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Grayson shifted 36.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Grayson has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Grayson voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Grayson has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Grayson?
Grayson's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 26.4 points (1,769 votes) out of 6,852 total votes cast.
Has Grayson ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Grayson has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Grayson?
The widest margin on record for Grayson was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 62.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Grayson relative to its population?
In 2024, 8,104 votes were recorded in Grayson against a total population of 15,265 (53.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Grayson a presidential bellwether county?
Grayson has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).