Gloucester, Virginia — Presidential Election Results

Gloucester, Virginia has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 44.6 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Virginia
2000 George W. Bush Republican 8,718 63.6% 30.4 pts (4,165 votes) 13,699 — 23.1 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 11,084 67.9% 36.6 pts (5,979 votes) 16,333 -5.5 pts 28.7 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 12,089 62.9% 26.9 pts (5,173 votes) 19,222 +9.7 pts 33.6 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 12,137 62.9% 27.9 pts (5,373 votes) 19,283 -1.2 pts 32.4 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 13,096 66.8% 39.2 pts (7,692 votes) 19,619 -13.2 pts 47.2 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 14,875 66.8% 35.5 pts (7,911 votes) 22,284 +5.4 pts 46.5 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 15,918 68.8% 38.4 pts (8,884 votes) 23,149 -2.5 pts 44.6 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 34,793 39.4% of population
2004 35,714 45.7% of population
2008 36,638 52.5% of population
2012 36,838 52.3% of population
2016 37,114 52.9% of population
2020 38,724 57.5% of population
2024 40,154 57.7% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Gloucester shifted 7.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+31.4 pts 2004: R+36.9 pts 2008: R+27.2 pts 2012: R+28.4 pts 2016: R+41.6 pts 2020: R+36.2 pts 2024: R+38.7 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Gloucester has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Virginia Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Gloucester voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Gloucester has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Gloucester?

Gloucester's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 27.2 points (5,173 votes) out of 19,222 total votes cast.

Has Gloucester ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Gloucester has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Gloucester?

The widest margin on record for Gloucester was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 41.6 points.

How many votes were cast in Gloucester relative to its population?

In 2024, 23,149 votes were recorded in Gloucester against a total population of 40,154 (57.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Gloucester a presidential bellwether county?

Gloucester has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).