Fredericksburg City, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Fredericksburg City, Virginia has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 26.4 pts more Dem. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 3,360 | 50.3% | 6.4 pts (425 votes) | 6,681 | — | 15.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 4,085 | 54.2% | 9.2 pts (695 votes) | 7,542 | +2.5 pts | 17.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 6,155 | 63.6% | 28.3 pts (2,742 votes) | 9,677 | +19.4 pts | 22.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 7,131 | 62.4% | 26.9 pts (3,071 votes) | 11,437 | -1.2 pts | 23.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 6,707 | 59.5% | 26.3 pts (2,963 votes) | 11,264 | +0.9 pts | 22.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 8,517 | 66.1% | 34.8 pts (4,480 votes) | 12,877 | +7.3 pts | 25.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 8,760 | 64.9% | 31.7 pts (4,280 votes) | 13,495 | -3.4 pts | 26.4 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 19,461 | 34.3% of population |
| 2004 | 21,567 | 35.0% of population |
| 2008 | 23,277 | 41.6% of population |
| 2012 | 27,179 | 42.1% of population |
| 2016 | 28,360 | 39.7% of population |
| 2020 | 27,995 | 46.0% of population |
| 2024 | 29,992 | 45.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Fredericksburg City shifted 25.6 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Fredericksburg City has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Fredericksburg City voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Fredericksburg City has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Fredericksburg City?
Fredericksburg City's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 6.8 points (425 votes) out of 6,681 total votes cast.
Has Fredericksburg City ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Fredericksburg City has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Fredericksburg City?
The widest margin on record for Fredericksburg City was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 35.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Fredericksburg City relative to its population?
In 2024, 13,495 votes were recorded in Fredericksburg City against a total population of 29,992 (45.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Fredericksburg City a presidential bellwether county?
Fredericksburg City has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).