Fluvanna, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Fluvanna, Virginia has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 12.2 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,962 | 57.0% | 17.6 pts (1,531 votes) | 8,706 | — | 9.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 6,458 | 58.9% | 18.6 pts (2,043 votes) | 10,957 | -0.5 pts | 10.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 6,420 | 50.4% | 1.8 pts (235 votes) | 12,735 | +16.9 pts | 8.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 6,678 | 52.4% | 6.2 pts (785 votes) | 12,749 | -4.4 pts | 10.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 7,025 | 51.7% | 9.3 pts (1,265 votes) | 13,597 | -3.6 pts | 15.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 8,155 | 51.5% | 4.7 pts (741 votes) | 15,846 | +5.1 pts | 15.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 8,777 | 52.6% | 6.3 pts (1,046 votes) | 16,678 | -1.6 pts | 12.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 20,191 | 43.1% of population |
| 2004 | 23,451 | 46.7% of population |
| 2008 | 25,461 | 50.0% of population |
| 2012 | 25,883 | 49.3% of population |
| 2016 | 26,187 | 51.9% of population |
| 2020 | 27,294 | 58.1% of population |
| 2024 | 28,746 | 58.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Fluvanna shifted 11.9 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Fluvanna has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Fluvanna voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Fluvanna has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Fluvanna?
Fluvanna's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 1.9 points (235 votes) out of 12,735 total votes cast.
Has Fluvanna ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Fluvanna has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Fluvanna?
The widest margin on record for Fluvanna was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 18.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Fluvanna relative to its population?
In 2024, 16,678 votes were recorded in Fluvanna against a total population of 28,746 (58.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Fluvanna a presidential bellwether county?
Fluvanna has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).