Fairfax City, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Fairfax City, Virginia has voted Democratic in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2004. In 2024, it was 28.4 pts more Dem. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,762 | 49.8% | 4.2 pts (401 votes) | 9,556 | — | 3.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 5,395 | 51.2% | 3.3 pts (350 votes) | 10,546 | +7.7 pts | 11.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 6,575 | 57.7% | 16.5 pts (1,884 votes) | 11,398 | +13.4 pts | 10.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 6,651 | 57.2% | 16.1 pts (1,876 votes) | 11,629 | -0.3 pts | 12.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 7,367 | 61.2% | 30.5 pts (3,665 votes) | 12,030 | +16.7 pts | 27.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 9,174 | 68.0% | 38.3 pts (5,167 votes) | 13,487 | +6.1 pts | 28.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 8,797 | 65.4% | 33.4 pts (4,495 votes) | 13,445 | -4.9 pts | 28.4 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 21,600 | 44.2% of population |
| 2004 | 21,160 | 49.8% of population |
| 2008 | 22,112 | 51.5% of population |
| 2012 | 22,894 | 50.8% of population |
| 2016 | 23,246 | 51.8% of population |
| 2020 | 24,179 | 55.8% of population |
| 2024 | 26,340 | 51.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Fairfax City shifted 38.7 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Fairfax City has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Fairfax City voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Fairfax City has voted Democratic in 6 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 1 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Fairfax City?
Fairfax City's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when John Kerry (Democratic) won by 3.4 points (350 votes) out of 10,546 total votes cast.
Has Fairfax City ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Fairfax City changed which party won the county in: 2004, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Fairfax City?
The widest margin on record for Fairfax City was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 39.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Fairfax City relative to its population?
In 2024, 13,445 votes were recorded in Fairfax City against a total population of 26,340 (51.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Fairfax City a presidential bellwether county?
Fairfax City has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).