Essex, Virginia — Presidential Election Results

Essex, Virginia has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 13.7 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Virginia
2000 George W. Bush Republican 1,995 52.1% 6.4 pts (245 votes) 3,831 — 1.8 pts more Dem.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 2,304 53.0% 6.8 pts (297 votes) 4,344 -0.3 pts 1.4 pts more Dem.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 2,934 54.7% 10.3 pts (555 votes) 5,364 +17.3 pts 4.1 pts more Dem.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 3,016 53.1% 7.3 pts (414 votes) 5,675 -3.1 pts 3.4 pts more Dem.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 2,657 49.1% 2.1 pts (115 votes) 5,408 -9.6 pts 7.9 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 3,075 49.8% 0.6 pts (37 votes) 6,178 +1.6 pts 10.9 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 3,245 53.5% 7.8 pts (470 votes) 6,064 -7.2 pts 13.7 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 9,984 38.4% of population
2004 10,238 42.4% of population
2008 10,920 49.1% of population
2012 11,135 51.0% of population
2016 11,077 48.8% of population
2020 10,597 58.3% of population
2024 10,683 56.8% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Essex shifted 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+6.5 pts 2004: R+6.9 pts 2008: D+10.4 pts 2012: D+7.4 pts 2016: R+2.2 pts 2020: R+0.6 pts 2024: R+7.8 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Essex has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Virginia Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Essex voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Essex has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Essex?

Essex's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 0.6 points (37 votes) out of 6,178 total votes cast.

Has Essex ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Essex changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Essex?

The widest margin on record for Essex was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 10.4 points.

How many votes were cast in Essex relative to its population?

In 2024, 6,064 votes were recorded in Essex against a total population of 10,683 (56.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Essex a presidential bellwether county?

Essex has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).