Culpeper, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Culpeper, Virginia has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 31.1 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 7,440 | 60.8% | 25.1 pts (3,076 votes) | 12,244 | — | 17.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 10,026 | 64.2% | 29.2 pts (4,550 votes) | 15,605 | -3.3 pts | 21.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 10,711 | 54.3% | 9.7 pts (1,909 votes) | 19,741 | +19.6 pts | 16.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 11,580 | 57.3% | 16.3 pts (3,295 votes) | 20,211 | -6.8 pts | 20.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 13,349 | 60.1% | 25.2 pts (5,590 votes) | 22,218 | -9.9 pts | 32.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 16,012 | 59.1% | 19.9 pts (5,395 votes) | 27,116 | +6.2 pts | 30.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 17,685 | 61.9% | 25.0 pts (7,128 votes) | 28,553 | -5.0 pts | 31.1 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 34,442 | 35.5% of population |
| 2004 | 39,670 | 39.3% of population |
| 2008 | 46,056 | 42.9% of population |
| 2012 | 47,844 | 42.2% of population |
| 2016 | 50,319 | 44.2% of population |
| 2020 | 52,766 | 51.4% of population |
| 2024 | 56,125 | 50.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Culpeper shifted 0.8 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Culpeper has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Culpeper voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Culpeper has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Culpeper?
Culpeper's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 9.8 points (1,909 votes) out of 19,741 total votes cast.
Has Culpeper ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Culpeper has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Culpeper?
The widest margin on record for Culpeper was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 29.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Culpeper relative to its population?
In 2024, 28,553 votes were recorded in Culpeper against a total population of 56,125 (50.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Culpeper a presidential bellwether county?
Culpeper has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).