Clarke, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Clarke, Virginia has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 23.0 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,883 | 54.6% | 13.6 pts (717 votes) | 5,284 | — | 5.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,741 | 57.5% | 16.0 pts (1,042 votes) | 6,505 | -2.0 pts | 7.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 3,840 | 51.7% | 5.2 pts (383 votes) | 7,431 | +10.9 pts | 11.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 4,296 | 55.3% | 13.6 pts (1,057 votes) | 7,762 | -8.8 pts | 18.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 4,661 | 56.8% | 19.6 pts (1,610 votes) | 8,213 | -6.8 pts | 26.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,192 | 55.6% | 13.6 pts (1,272 votes) | 9,337 | +6.9 pts | 24.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,641 | 57.7% | 16.8 pts (1,648 votes) | 9,782 | -3.1 pts | 23.0 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 12,672 | 41.7% of population |
| 2004 | 13,413 | 48.5% of population |
| 2008 | 14,092 | 52.7% of population |
| 2012 | 14,245 | 54.5% of population |
| 2016 | 14,294 | 57.5% of population |
| 2020 | 14,817 | 63.0% of population |
| 2024 | 15,598 | 62.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Clarke shifted 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Clarke has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Clarke voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Clarke has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Clarke?
Clarke's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 5.2 points (383 votes) out of 7,431 total votes cast.
Has Clarke ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Clarke has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Clarke?
The widest margin on record for Clarke was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 20.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Clarke relative to its population?
In 2024, 9,782 votes were recorded in Clarke against a total population of 15,598 (62.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Clarke a presidential bellwether county?
Clarke has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).