Chesterfield, Virginia — Presidential Election Results
Chesterfield, Virginia has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2020. In 2024, it was 3.2 pts more Dem. than Virginia overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 69,924 | 63.0% | 28.2 pts (31,286 votes) | 110,951 | — | 20.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 83,745 | 62.6% | 25.7 pts (34,399 votes) | 133,814 | +3.0 pts | 17.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 86,413 | 53.3% | 7.5 pts (12,103 votes) | 162,088 | +18.3 pts | 13.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 90,934 | 53.2% | 7.7 pts (13,240 votes) | 170,988 | -0.3 pts | 11.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 85,045 | 48.2% | 2.3 pts (3,971 votes) | 176,461 | +5.5 pts | 8.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 106,935 | 52.4% | 6.7 pts (13,609 votes) | 203,955 | +9.2 pts | 3.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 112,869 | 53.8% | 9.0 pts (18,839 votes) | 209,730 | +2.3 pts | 3.2 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 261,047 | 42.5% of population |
| 2004 | 283,030 | 47.3% of population |
| 2008 | 309,837 | 52.3% of population |
| 2012 | 323,880 | 52.8% of population |
| 2016 | 338,479 | 52.1% of population |
| 2020 | 365,350 | 55.8% of population |
| 2024 | 389,793 | 53.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Chesterfield shifted 37.9 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Chesterfield has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Virginia Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Chesterfield voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Chesterfield has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Chesterfield?
Chesterfield's closest recorded margin was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 2.4 points (3,971 votes) out of 176,461 total votes cast.
Has Chesterfield ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Chesterfield changed which party won the county in: 2020, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Chesterfield?
The widest margin on record for Chesterfield was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 28.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Chesterfield relative to its population?
In 2024, 209,730 votes were recorded in Chesterfield against a total population of 389,793 (53.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Chesterfield a presidential bellwether county?
Chesterfield has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).