Buckingham, Virginia — Presidential Election Results

Buckingham, Virginia has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 29.6 pts more Rep. than Virginia overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Virginia
2000 George W. Bush Republican 2,738 50.2% 3.2 pts (177 votes) 5,454 — 5.0 pts more Dem.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 3,185 52.8% 6.6 pts (396 votes) 6,027 -3.3 pts 1.6 pts more Dem.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 3,489 49.9% 0.9 pts (61 votes) 6,994 +7.5 pts 5.5 pts more Rep.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 3,750 50.3% 2.4 pts (181 votes) 7,457 +1.6 pts 1.5 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 3,950 54.1% 11.3 pts (822 votes) 7,295 -14.1 pts 17.3 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 4,544 55.9% 13.2 pts (1,073 votes) 8,129 -1.8 pts 23.7 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 4,847 61.2% 23.5 pts (1,859 votes) 7,915 -10.3 pts 29.6 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 15,634 34.9% of population
2004 16,168 37.3% of population
2008 16,819 41.6% of population
2012 17,068 43.7% of population
2016 17,051 42.8% of population
2020 16,830 48.3% of population
2024 17,115 46.2% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Buckingham shifted 20.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+3.3 pts 2004: R+6.6 pts 2008: D+0.9 pts 2012: D+2.5 pts 2016: R+11.6 pts 2020: R+13.4 pts 2024: R+23.7 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Buckingham has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Virginia Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Buckingham voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Buckingham has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Buckingham?

Buckingham's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 0.9 points (61 votes) out of 6,994 total votes cast.

Has Buckingham ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Buckingham changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Buckingham?

The widest margin on record for Buckingham was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 23.7 points.

How many votes were cast in Buckingham relative to its population?

In 2024, 7,915 votes were recorded in Buckingham against a total population of 17,115 (46.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Buckingham a presidential bellwether county?

Buckingham has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and Virginia's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).