St Mary'S, Maryland — Presidential Election Results

St Mary'S, Maryland has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 47.1 pts more Rep. than Maryland overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Maryland
2000 George W. Bush Republican 16,856 57.1% 16.8 pts (4,944 votes) 29,501 — 34.1 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 23,725 62.6% 26.2 pts (9,949 votes) 37,916 -9.3 pts 39.7 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 24,705 55.6% 12.8 pts (5,682 votes) 44,409 +13.5 pts 38.9 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 26,797 56.0% 14.8 pts (7,086 votes) 47,824 -2.2 pts 41.9 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 28,663 57.5% 22.3 pts (11,129 votes) 49,842 -8.9 pts 52.1 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 30,826 55.4% 13.8 pts (7,688 votes) 55,665 +9.8 pts 48.3 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 33,582 57.0% 17.0 pts (10,051 votes) 58,954 -3.4 pts 47.1 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 86,498 34.1% of population
2004 94,900 40.0% of population
2008 101,921 43.6% of population
2012 108,800 44.0% of population
2016 111,750 44.6% of population
2020 114,006 48.8% of population
2024 116,469 50.6% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in St Mary'S shifted 0.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+17.2 pts 2004: R+26.5 pts 2008: R+13.0 pts 2012: R+15.2 pts 2016: R+24.1 pts 2020: R+14.2 pts 2024: R+17.6 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

St Mary'S has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Maryland's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Maryland Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has St Mary'S voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, St Mary'S has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in St Mary'S?

St Mary'S's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 13.0 points (5,682 votes) out of 44,409 total votes cast.

Has St Mary'S ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- St Mary'S has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in St Mary'S?

The widest margin on record for St Mary'S was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 26.5 points.

How many votes were cast in St Mary'S relative to its population?

In 2024, 58,954 votes were recorded in St Mary'S against a total population of 116,469 (50.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is St Mary'S a presidential bellwether county?

St Mary'S has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Maryland's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).