Anne Arundel, Maryland — Presidential Election Results
Anne Arundel, Maryland has voted Republican in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2016. In 2024, it was 15.2 pts more Rep. than Maryland overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Maryland |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 104,209 | 51.9% | 7.3 pts (14,585 votes) | 200,657 | — | 24.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 133,231 | 55.6% | 12.5 pts (29,907 votes) | 239,667 | -5.1 pts | 25.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 129,682 | 50.0% | 1.8 pts (4,667 votes) | 259,619 | +10.8 pts | 27.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 126,832 | 48.8% | 0.1 pts (197 votes) | 260,155 | +1.8 pts | 26.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 128,419 | 47.5% | 2.2 pts (6,016 votes) | 270,081 | +2.5 pts | 25.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 172,823 | 55.8% | 14.5 pts (45,002 votes) | 309,617 | +12.6 pts | 19.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 171,945 | 55.2% | 13.8 pts (43,053 votes) | 311,572 | -0.7 pts | 15.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 491,670 | 40.8% of population |
| 2004 | 513,259 | 46.7% of population |
| 2008 | 525,304 | 49.4% of population |
| 2012 | 550,333 | 47.3% of population |
| 2016 | 567,254 | 47.6% of population |
| 2020 | 593,412 | 52.2% of population |
| 2024 | 602,350 | 51.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Anne Arundel shifted 21.8 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Anne Arundel has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Maryland's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Maryland Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Anne Arundel voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Anne Arundel has voted Democratic in 3 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 4 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Anne Arundel?
Anne Arundel's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Mitt Romney (Republican) won by 0.1 points (197 votes) out of 260,155 total votes cast.
Has Anne Arundel ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Anne Arundel changed which party won the county in: 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Anne Arundel?
The widest margin on record for Anne Arundel was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 15.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Anne Arundel relative to its population?
In 2024, 311,572 votes were recorded in Anne Arundel against a total population of 602,350 (51.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Anne Arundel a presidential bellwether county?
Anne Arundel has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Maryland's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%).