Somerset, Maryland — Presidential Election Results
Somerset, Maryland has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 47.3 pts more Rep. than Maryland overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Maryland |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 3,785 | 49.8% | 2.3 pts (176 votes) | 7,604 | — | 14.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,884 | 54.3% | 9.5 pts (850 votes) | 8,994 | -11.9 pts | 22.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 5,037 | 50.8% | 2.6 pts (258 votes) | 9,924 | +6.9 pts | 28.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 5,240 | 50.4% | 1.9 pts (198 votes) | 10,399 | +4.6 pts | 24.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 5,341 | 53.9% | 11.6 pts (1,145 votes) | 9,900 | -13.9 pts | 40.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,739 | 56.6% | 14.8 pts (1,498 votes) | 10,147 | -3.0 pts | 49.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,805 | 57.3% | 17.3 pts (1,751 votes) | 10,137 | -2.8 pts | 47.3 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 24,710 | 30.8% of population |
| 2004 | 25,807 | 34.9% of population |
| 2008 | 26,474 | 37.5% of population |
| 2012 | 26,039 | 39.9% of population |
| 2016 | 25,839 | 38.3% of population |
| 2020 | 24,567 | 41.3% of population |
| 2024 | 25,241 | 40.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Somerset shifted 20.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Somerset has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Maryland's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Maryland Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Somerset voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Somerset has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Somerset?
Somerset's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 1.9 points (198 votes) out of 10,399 total votes cast.
Has Somerset ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Somerset changed which party won the county in: 2004, 2012, 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Somerset?
The widest margin on record for Somerset was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 17.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Somerset relative to its population?
In 2024, 10,137 votes were recorded in Somerset against a total population of 25,241 (40.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Somerset a presidential bellwether county?
Somerset has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Maryland's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).