Harford, Maryland — Presidential Election Results
Harford, Maryland has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 43.7 pts more Rep. than Maryland overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Maryland |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 52,862 | 57.8% | 18.8 pts (17,197 votes) | 91,424 | — | 36.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 71,565 | 63.5% | 28.3 pts (31,880 votes) | 112,728 | -9.2 pts | 41.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 71,751 | 58.2% | 18.8 pts (23,199 votes) | 123,295 | +9.4 pts | 45.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 72,911 | 57.9% | 18.4 pts (23,182 votes) | 125,954 | +0.4 pts | 45.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 77,860 | 58.2% | 23.0 pts (30,783 votes) | 133,672 | -5.7 pts | 52.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 80,930 | 54.6% | 12.0 pts (17,835 votes) | 148,186 | +12.3 pts | 46.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 83,050 | 55.3% | 13.7 pts (20,597 votes) | 150,090 | -1.8 pts | 43.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 219,797 | 41.6% of population |
| 2004 | 234,849 | 48.0% of population |
| 2008 | 242,779 | 50.8% of population |
| 2012 | 248,566 | 50.7% of population |
| 2016 | 250,370 | 53.4% of population |
| 2020 | 261,245 | 56.7% of population |
| 2024 | 265,514 | 56.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Harford shifted 5.3 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Harford has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Maryland's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Maryland Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Harford voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Harford has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Harford?
Harford's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 12.4 points (17,835 votes) out of 148,186 total votes cast.
Has Harford ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Harford has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Harford?
The widest margin on record for Harford was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 28.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Harford relative to its population?
In 2024, 150,090 votes were recorded in Harford against a total population of 265,514 (56.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Harford a presidential bellwether county?
Harford has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Maryland's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).