St. Mary, Louisiana — Presidential Election Results

St. Mary, Louisiana has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 9.8 pts more Rep. than Louisiana overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Louisiana
2000 George W. Bush Republican 11,325 51.9% 6.8 pts (1,474 votes) 21,810 — 0.9 pts more Dem.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 12,877 56.7% 14.7 pts (3,330 votes) 22,694 -7.9 pts 0.2 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 13,183 57.6% 16.8 pts (3,838 votes) 22,903 -2.2 pts 2.0 pts more Dem.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 13,885 58.7% 18.8 pts (4,435 votes) 23,640 -2.0 pts 1.5 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 14,359 62.8% 27.6 pts (6,309 votes) 22,877 -9.1 pts 7.8 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 14,811 63.9% 29.1 pts (6,756 votes) 23,186 -1.4 pts 10.6 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 13,671 65.4% 31.9 pts (6,660 votes) 20,897 -2.7 pts 9.8 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 53,377 40.9% of population
2004 53,288 42.6% of population
2008 54,352 42.1% of population
2012 53,562 44.1% of population
2016 52,069 43.9% of population
2020 49,155 47.2% of population
2024 46,799 44.7% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in St. Mary shifted 25.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+7.0 pts 2004: R+14.9 pts 2008: R+17.0 pts 2012: R+19.0 pts 2016: R+28.2 pts 2020: R+29.5 pts 2024: R+32.2 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

St. Mary has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Louisiana's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Louisiana Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has St. Mary voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, St. Mary has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in St. Mary?

St. Mary's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 7.0 points (1,474 votes) out of 21,810 total votes cast.

Has St. Mary ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- St. Mary has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in St. Mary?

The widest margin on record for St. Mary was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 32.2 points.

How many votes were cast in St. Mary relative to its population?

In 2024, 20,897 votes were recorded in St. Mary against a total population of 46,799 (44.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is St. Mary a presidential bellwether county?

St. Mary has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Louisiana's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).