Assumption, Louisiana — Presidential Election Results
Assumption, Louisiana has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2008. In 2024, it was 13.7 pts more Rep. than Louisiana overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Louisiana |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 5,222 | 51.9% | 8.3 pts (834 votes) | 10,053 | — | 16.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 5,585 | 52.0% | 5.8 pts (619 votes) | 10,735 | -2.8 pts | 20.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 5,981 | 54.6% | 11.2 pts (1,225 votes) | 10,960 | -17.3 pts | 7.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 6,083 | 55.3% | 12.1 pts (1,329 votes) | 10,992 | -0.9 pts | 5.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 6,714 | 61.6% | 25.5 pts (2,783 votes) | 10,904 | -13.9 pts | 5.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,271 | 64.7% | 30.6 pts (3,438 votes) | 11,235 | -4.8 pts | 12.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,963 | 67.2% | 35.6 pts (3,690 votes) | 10,367 | -5.1 pts | 13.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 23,324 | 43.1% of population |
| 2004 | 23,319 | 46.0% of population |
| 2008 | 23,534 | 46.6% of population |
| 2012 | 23,072 | 47.6% of population |
| 2016 | 22,756 | 47.9% of population |
| 2020 | 20,963 | 53.6% of population |
| 2024 | 20,050 | 51.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Assumption shifted 44.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Assumption has matched the national popular winner in 2 of the last 7 presidential elections (29%), and Louisiana's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Louisiana Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Assumption voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Assumption has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Assumption?
Assumption's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when John Kerry (Democratic) won by 5.9 points (619 votes) out of 10,735 total votes cast.
Has Assumption ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Assumption changed which party won the county in: 2008, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Assumption?
The widest margin on record for Assumption was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 36.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Assumption relative to its population?
In 2024, 10,367 votes were recorded in Assumption against a total population of 20,050 (51.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Assumption a presidential bellwether county?
Assumption has matched the national popular winner in 2 of the last 7 presidential elections (29%), and Louisiana's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).