Natchitoches, Louisiana — Presidential Election Results
Natchitoches, Louisiana has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024).
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Louisiana |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 7,332 | 49.4% | 2.7 pts (408 votes) | 14,857 | — | 5.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 9,261 | 54.6% | 11.0 pts (1,863 votes) | 16,966 | -8.3 pts | 3.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 9,054 | 53.0% | 7.3 pts (1,253 votes) | 17,067 | +3.7 pts | 11.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 9,077 | 52.6% | 6.6 pts (1,135 votes) | 17,258 | +0.8 pts | 10.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 8,968 | 54.0% | 11.0 pts (1,824 votes) | 16,621 | -4.7 pts | 9.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 9,358 | 56.5% | 14.9 pts (2,462 votes) | 16,554 | -3.8 pts | 3.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 9,100 | 60.5% | 22.3 pts (3,360 votes) | 15,040 | -7.5 pts | 0.3 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 39,089 | 38.0% of population |
| 2004 | 38,950 | 43.6% of population |
| 2008 | 39,244 | 43.5% of population |
| 2012 | 39,339 | 43.9% of population |
| 2016 | 39,024 | 42.6% of population |
| 2020 | 37,391 | 44.3% of population |
| 2024 | 35,982 | 41.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Natchitoches shifted 19.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Natchitoches has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Louisiana's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Louisiana Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Natchitoches voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Natchitoches has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Natchitoches?
Natchitoches's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 2.9 points (408 votes) out of 14,857 total votes cast.
Has Natchitoches ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Natchitoches has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Natchitoches?
The widest margin on record for Natchitoches was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 22.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Natchitoches relative to its population?
In 2024, 15,040 votes were recorded in Natchitoches against a total population of 35,982 (41.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Natchitoches a presidential bellwether county?
Natchitoches has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Louisiana's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).