Lincoln, Kansas — Presidential Election Results

Lincoln, Kansas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 49.9 pts more Rep. than Kansas overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Kansas
2000 George W. Bush Republican 1,295 68.5% 43.7 pts (826 votes) 1,890 — 25.0 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 1,368 76.0% 54.3 pts (977 votes) 1,800 -8.7 pts 29.8 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 1,204 75.9% 54.0 pts (857 votes) 1,586 +0.3 pts 40.0 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 1,165 78.6% 59.1 pts (876 votes) 1,483 -5.0 pts 38.1 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 1,179 80.5% 65.8 pts (964 votes) 1,464 -8.9 pts 46.9 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 1,283 81.3% 64.4 pts (1,017 votes) 1,579 +3.5 pts 50.7 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 1,233 81.8% 65.2 pts (983 votes) 1,507 -0.6 pts 49.9 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 3,576 52.9% of population
2004 3,414 52.7% of population
2008 3,333 47.6% of population
2012 3,181 46.6% of population
2016 3,077 47.6% of population
2020 2,946 53.6% of population
2024 2,928 51.5% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Lincoln shifted 19.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+46.8 pts 2004: R+55.5 pts 2008: R+55.3 pts 2012: R+60.2 pts 2016: R+69.2 pts 2020: R+65.7 pts 2024: R+66.3 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Lincoln has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Kansas Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Lincoln voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Lincoln has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Lincoln?

Lincoln's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 46.8 points (826 votes) out of 1,890 total votes cast.

Has Lincoln ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Lincoln has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Lincoln?

The widest margin on record for Lincoln was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 69.2 points.

How many votes were cast in Lincoln relative to its population?

In 2024, 1,507 votes were recorded in Lincoln against a total population of 2,928 (51.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Lincoln a presidential bellwether county?

Lincoln has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).