Mobile, Alabama — Presidential Election Results

Mobile, Alabama has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 14.3 pts more Dem. than Alabama overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Alabama
2000 George W. Bush Republican 78,162 55.9% 14.0 pts (19,522 votes) 139,745 — 0.9 pts more Dem.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 92,014 58.7% 18.0 pts (28,282 votes) 156,771 -3.9 pts 7.6 pts more Dem.
2008 John McCain Republican 98,049 54.0% 8.7 pts (15,868 votes) 181,424 +9.4 pts 13.0 pts more Dem.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 94,893 54.3% 9.2 pts (16,133 votes) 174,864 -0.5 pts 13.1 pts more Dem.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 95,116 55.1% 13.3 pts (22,930 votes) 172,737 -4.4 pts 15.0 pts more Dem.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 101,243 55.3% 11.9 pts (21,769 votes) 183,164 +1.7 pts 13.8 pts more Dem.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 100,759 57.5% 16.4 pts (28,704 votes) 175,164 -4.6 pts 14.3 pts more Dem.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 400,073 34.9% of population
2004 397,959 39.4% of population
2008 409,196 44.3% of population
2012 413,816 42.3% of population
2016 414,945 41.6% of population
2020 414,409 44.2% of population
2024 412,339 42.5% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Mobile shifted 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+14.3 pts 2004: R+18.2 pts 2008: R+8.8 pts 2012: R+9.3 pts 2016: R+13.7 pts 2020: R+12.0 pts 2024: R+16.6 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Mobile has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Alabama's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Alabama Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Mobile voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Mobile has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Mobile?

Mobile's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 8.8 points (15,868 votes) out of 181,424 total votes cast.

Has Mobile ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Mobile has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Mobile?

The widest margin on record for Mobile was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 18.2 points.

How many votes were cast in Mobile relative to its population?

In 2024, 175,164 votes were recorded in Mobile against a total population of 412,339 (42.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Mobile a presidential bellwether county?

Mobile has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Alabama's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).