Baldwin, Alabama — Presidential Election Results
Baldwin, Alabama has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 27.8 pts more Rep. than Alabama overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Alabama |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 40,872 | 72.4% | 47.6 pts (26,875 votes) | 56,480 | — | 33.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 52,971 | 76.4% | 53.9 pts (37,372 votes) | 69,320 | -5.5 pts | 28.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 61,271 | 75.3% | 51.4 pts (41,885 votes) | 81,413 | +2.6 pts | 30.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 66,016 | 77.4% | 55.8 pts (47,592 votes) | 85,338 | -4.4 pts | 33.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 72,883 | 76.5% | 57.2 pts (54,425 votes) | 95,215 | -3.2 pts | 30.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 83,544 | 76.2% | 53.8 pts (58,966 votes) | 109,679 | +5.0 pts | 28.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 95,798 | 78.4% | 58.0 pts (70,864 votes) | 122,249 | -4.2 pts | 27.8 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 141,342 | 40.0% of population |
| 2004 | 156,266 | 44.4% of population |
| 2008 | 175,827 | 46.3% of population |
| 2012 | 190,145 | 44.9% of population |
| 2016 | 207,601 | 45.9% of population |
| 2020 | 233,244 | 47.0% of population |
| 2024 | 261,608 | 46.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Baldwin shifted 9.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Baldwin has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Alabama's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Alabama Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Baldwin voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Baldwin has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Baldwin?
Baldwin's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 49.0 points (26,875 votes) out of 56,480 total votes cast.
Has Baldwin ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Baldwin has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Baldwin?
The widest margin on record for Baldwin was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 59.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Baldwin relative to its population?
In 2024, 122,249 votes were recorded in Baldwin against a total population of 261,608 (46.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Baldwin a presidential bellwether county?
Baldwin has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Alabama's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).