Elmore, Alabama — Presidential Election Results

Elmore, Alabama has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 21.6 pts more Rep. than Alabama overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Alabama
2000 George W. Bush Republican 16,777 70.5% 42.5 pts (10,125 votes) 23,804 — 28.0 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 22,056 76.9% 54.3 pts (15,585 votes) 28,680 -11.4 pts 28.8 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 25,777 75.1% 50.9 pts (17,476 votes) 34,315 +3.4 pts 29.5 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 26,253 74.0% 48.8 pts (17,299 votes) 35,485 +2.1 pts 26.7 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 27,634 74.2% 51.5 pts (19,191 votes) 37,260 -4.1 pts 24.4 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 30,164 73.5% 48.3 pts (19,797 votes) 41,030 +4.4 pts 23.0 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 31,374 75.4% 51.9 pts (21,600 votes) 41,624 -3.6 pts 21.6 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 66,160 36.0% of population
2004 71,018 40.4% of population
2008 77,698 44.2% of population
2012 80,193 44.2% of population
2016 81,204 45.9% of population
2020 87,871 46.7% of population
2024 91,042 45.7% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Elmore shifted 9.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+43.2 pts 2004: R+54.6 pts 2008: R+51.3 pts 2012: R+49.1 pts 2016: R+53.2 pts 2020: R+48.8 pts 2024: R+52.5 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Elmore has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Alabama's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Alabama Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Elmore voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Elmore has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Elmore?

Elmore's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 43.2 points (10,125 votes) out of 23,804 total votes cast.

Has Elmore ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Elmore has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Elmore?

The widest margin on record for Elmore was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 54.6 points.

How many votes were cast in Elmore relative to its population?

In 2024, 41,624 votes were recorded in Elmore against a total population of 91,042 (45.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Elmore a presidential bellwether county?

Elmore has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Alabama's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).