Union, Tennessee — Presidential Election Results

Union, Tennessee has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 41.6 pts more Rep. than Tennessee overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Tennessee
2000 George W. Bush Republican 3,199 55.0% 10.9 pts (635 votes) 5,821 — 7.1 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 4,145 61.8% 24.2 pts (1,621 votes) 6,710 -13.3 pts 9.9 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 4,467 69.8% 41.2 pts (2,638 votes) 6,399 -17.6 pts 26.6 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 4,282 73.5% 48.1 pts (2,804 votes) 5,828 -6.8 pts 28.0 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 5,053 80.9% 64.7 pts (4,041 votes) 6,247 -17.9 pts 39.4 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 6,803 83.7% 68.4 pts (5,554 votes) 8,123 -2.3 pts 45.3 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 7,384 85.2% 71.2 pts (6,168 votes) 8,669 -2.7 pts 41.6 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 17,891 32.5% of population
2004 18,653 36.0% of population
2008 19,208 33.3% of population
2012 19,105 30.5% of population
2016 19,219 32.5% of population
2020 19,845 40.9% of population
2024 21,064 41.2% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Union shifted 60.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+11.0 pts 2004: R+24.3 pts 2008: R+41.9 pts 2012: R+48.7 pts 2016: R+66.6 pts 2020: R+69.0 pts 2024: R+71.7 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Union has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Tennessee Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Union voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Union has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Union?

Union's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 11.0 points (635 votes) out of 5,821 total votes cast.

Has Union ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Union has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Union?

The widest margin on record for Union was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 71.7 points.

How many votes were cast in Union relative to its population?

In 2024, 8,669 votes were recorded in Union against a total population of 21,064 (41.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Union a presidential bellwether county?

Union has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).