Carter, Tennessee — Presidential Election Results
Carter, Tennessee has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 33.7 pts more Rep. than Tennessee overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Tennessee |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 12,111 | 63.4% | 28.2 pts (5,387 votes) | 19,102 | — | 24.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 15,763 | 70.7% | 42.0 pts (9,373 votes) | 22,302 | -13.7 pts | 27.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 15,852 | 72.8% | 47.2 pts (10,265 votes) | 21,769 | -5.6 pts | 32.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 15,503 | 75.2% | 52.0 pts (10,714 votes) | 20,617 | -4.9 pts | 32.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 16,898 | 80.1% | 63.8 pts (13,445 votes) | 21,084 | -13.3 pts | 38.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 19,584 | 80.0% | 61.5 pts (15,055 votes) | 24,492 | +3.6 pts | 38.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 20,167 | 81.1% | 63.2 pts (15,713 votes) | 24,852 | -1.4 pts | 33.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 56,789 | 33.6% of population |
| 2004 | 57,532 | 38.8% of population |
| 2008 | 57,895 | 37.6% of population |
| 2012 | 57,347 | 36.0% of population |
| 2016 | 56,473 | 37.3% of population |
| 2020 | 56,386 | 43.4% of population |
| 2024 | 57,434 | 43.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Carter shifted 35.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Carter has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Tennessee Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Carter voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Carter has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Carter?
Carter's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 28.6 points (5,387 votes) out of 19,102 total votes cast.
Has Carter ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Carter has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Carter?
The widest margin on record for Carter was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 66.1 points.
How many votes were cast in Carter relative to its population?
In 2024, 24,852 votes were recorded in Carter against a total population of 57,434 (43.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Carter a presidential bellwether county?
Carter has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).