Sumner, Tennessee — Presidential Election Results
Sumner, Tennessee has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 12.2 pts more Rep. than Tennessee overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Tennessee |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 27,601 | 54.7% | 10.9 pts (5,483 votes) | 50,477 | — | 7.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 40,141 | 64.8% | 30.2 pts (18,702 votes) | 61,909 | -19.3 pts | 15.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 44,949 | 66.9% | 34.9 pts (23,462 votes) | 67,228 | -4.9 pts | 20.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 46,003 | 70.4% | 42.0 pts (27,424 votes) | 65,366 | -7.1 pts | 21.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 50,129 | 70.1% | 44.7 pts (31,968 votes) | 71,505 | -4.3 pts | 19.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 63,454 | 68.5% | 38.6 pts (35,774 votes) | 92,630 | +7.6 pts | 15.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 68,767 | 70.3% | 41.8 pts (40,893 votes) | 97,761 | -3.1 pts | 12.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 131,207 | 38.5% of population |
| 2004 | 141,103 | 43.9% of population |
| 2008 | 155,999 | 43.1% of population |
| 2012 | 165,967 | 39.4% of population |
| 2016 | 179,332 | 39.9% of population |
| 2020 | 197,420 | 46.9% of population |
| 2024 | 211,721 | 46.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Sumner shifted 31.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Sumner has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Tennessee Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Sumner voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Sumner has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Sumner?
Sumner's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 11.0 points (5,483 votes) out of 50,477 total votes cast.
Has Sumner ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Sumner has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Sumner?
The widest margin on record for Sumner was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 46.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Sumner relative to its population?
In 2024, 97,761 votes were recorded in Sumner against a total population of 211,721 (46.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Sumner a presidential bellwether county?
Sumner has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).